Methodology

Official Moon.com figures

These come straight from Moon.com's public data, read live and cached for a few seconds to a few minutes:

• Leaderboard on Players: profit, ROI, trades and lifetime wagered per player, by day, week, month or all time.
• Best trades: Moon.com's official Best Bets (biggest wins and multipliers), also imported into our archive.
• Player profiles: VIP tier, lifetime wagered and official stats, unless the player hides them.
• Markets: open positions (long and short), open interest in $ and closed trades since launch, for every asset.
• Prices of every asset.

The Moon Alerts archive

Everything labelled tracked or archived comes from our own archive, started on Aug 15, 2026. It is built from three public sources:

• Public feed: the last 50 closed trades on Moon.com (wins, losses and liquidations alike), read every 15 seconds.
• Open position scan: every open position on every market, about once a minute.
• Resolution: each position seen open is followed until Moon.com reports its real outcome (win, loss or liquidation).

Archived totals (volume, P&L, trades, liquidations) only cover what we captured since Aug 15, 2026. They are not Moon.com's official totals.

Estimates

• Est. P&L of open positions uses Moon.com's own payout formula: a winning move is paid at a reduced "filled" price (market impact, set per asset by Moon.com), and opening and funding fees are deducted. We replay it every day on real closed trades and it matches to the cent. The final P&L can still differ.
• Liquidation price: entry × (1 − 1/leverage) for a long, entry × (1 + 1/leverage) for a short, as on Moon.com.
• Near liquidation: the live price has covered 65% or more of the way from entry to the liquidation price.
• Position size: stake after the opening fee × leverage. A "≈" marks older positions whose exact stake we do not know.
• Prices refresh every 15 to 30 seconds. A price older than 5 minutes is shown with its time.

Definitions

• Liquidation: a position closed by its stop at 0× (the whole stake is lost), or closed because funding fees could no longer be covered. A stop that keeps part of the stake is a loss, not a liquidation.
• Partial close: a slice of a position closed on its own. It carries a "partial" tag and is not a full trade.
• Tracked positions: positions we saw open before their outcome. Won / Lost on the home page and the tracked win rate use only these, so the way a trade reached us cannot favour wins.
• Tracked win rate: the share of winning trades among those followed from open to close, shown from 20 such trades (n/a below).
• Open interest: the $ amount open on a market (stake × leverage), long and short, as Moon.com shows it. Open positions is the number of positions.
• All times are in UTC.

Survival by leverage

The survival by leverage table and the market and leverage pages, such as BTC at 1000×, describe what happened to tracked positions since Aug 15, 2026, the start of our archive. They are recomputed once a day.

• Sample: only public positions that our scan saw open and then followed to their close, the same sample as Won / Lost on the home page. A position opened and closed between two scans is not in it, so very short trades are under-represented. It covers part of Moon.com's activity, not all of it.
• Leverage tiers: 1-99×, 100-199×, 200-499×, 500-999× and 1000×.
• Liquidated: the share of a tier's positions closed by a liquidation. Time to liquidation: the median time from opening to liquidation, over liquidated positions only. Duration: the median time from opening to close, over all positions.
• Move to liquidation: 1 / leverage at the tier's median leverage, 0.1% at 1000×. Typical move: the median absolute price move on Moon.com's own price feed, over 5-minute windows in the last 24 hours and 1-hour windows in the last 15 days, measured once a day. Windows without any price change (market closed) are left out.
• A market and leverage page with fewer than 200 tracked positions is not indexed by search engines, and a value based on fewer than 30 is shown in grey.
• These figures describe past positions in our archive, not how a future position will end.

Known limits

• Hidden and anonymous players: Moon.com lets players hide their bets. Their trades show as Anonymous, and we show no stats for players who hide their bets.
• Best trades lean to wins: Moon.com's Best Bets list the biggest wins, so imported records push archived totals toward winners.
• Very short trades: a position opened and closed between two scans is never seen open. It still reaches the archive through the public feed, but not the tracked sample.
• Coverage: we see most, not all, positions open on Moon.com. The gap is positions opened since the last scan.
• Delays: data can lag by a few seconds to a few minutes, and Moon.com can change or remove public data at any time.

Questions or corrections: @AlertsOnMoon on X. See also our legal page.